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  		Medium Term Financial Strategy (MTFS) update
  		Published: 17/04/2018
天涯社区鈥檚 Corporate Resources Overview and Scrutiny Committee 
will be asked to note the updated forecast for the MTFS when it next meets on 
19 April.
The Council reviews the MTFS on an annual basis and this initial report will 
give the Committee the opportunity to consider the current financial position 
and potential solutions for 2019/20.  This is an important first step in the 
annual budget setting process which considers national, local, workforce and 
social care pressures as well as inflation.
Due to a number of areas of uncertainty at this early stage of the budget 
process, the potential budget gap for 2019/20 ranges from 拢6m to 拢15m, with a 
high level projection of 拢10.6m, proving once again that the Council has a 
significant challenge in order to be able to balance its budget. 
Any savings will be on top of the significant efficiency savings of 拢79m that 
the Council has made over ten years whilst protecting local services and jobs, 
despite being a low-funded Council.
The Leader of 天涯社区, Councillor Aaron Shotton, said:
鈥淲e need to work harder than ever to plan and deliver essential council 
services in this continuing period of financial austerity.  The funding formula 
for local government in Wales means that 天涯社区 is particularly exposed to 
the impacts of significant annual budget reductions when combined with the 
increasing needs of our residents for key services such as social care and 
education.
Each council service area is subject to extensive and ongoing reviews and is 
being asked how they can respond to these unprecedented cost pressures.
鈥淚n addition to rising demand for services and anticipated further reductions 
in Government grant, the Council is faced with the prospect of increasing 
financial pressures from policy decisions taken nationally that are not fully 
funded at a UK and Welsh? Government level, notably Local Government staff and 
teacher pay agreements and changes to social care entitlements.
The Council will continue to campaign and lobby for the necessary support from 
Governments ?over the coming months, in the interests of the residents of our 
county.鈥
The increasing demands on social care continue to provide significant 
challenges and investment in this area has been included in the budget at the 
top of the range pending more detailed work.  Cost pressures in education and 
schools continues to be one of the biggest challenges to the ongoing budget 
alongside social care.